In 2022, Democrats defied the political history of poor midterm-election results for the party holding the White House by running expectedly well in the seven key swing states'most crucially, the former 'Blue Wall' states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin'despite pervasive dissatisfaction with the economy and President Joe Biden's performance. That success, ironically, may have helped seal the party's fate in the 2024 election. Two years ago, the Democrats succeeded in quarantining the swing states and won most of the key governor and Senate races within them, even as the powerful nationwide current of dissatisfaction with Biden and the economy moved virtually every other state, red or blue, toward the GOP. If the midterms had gone as badly as many analysts initially forecast'with predictions of a towering 'red wave' of Republican gains'Biden likely would have faced greater pressure to renounce running for a second term long before his disastrous debate performance in June....
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