Every presidential election appears to pose one big question'who will win''that is in fact made up of countless smaller questions: How do voters really behave' Which old rules of politics still apply, and which are obsolete' What kind of country do we live in' In 2016, we learned that white evangelical voters would overwhelmingly support a louche serial philanderer. Four years later, we learned that Florida had shifted from the quintessential swing state to a Republican stronghold. Here are five of the biggest outstanding questions heading into next week's vote. Donald Trump's stunning 2016 victory set off a reckoning among pollsters to figure out how they had gotten things so wrong. Then 2020 came around, and they somehow did even worse. Polling averages showed Joe Biden leading in Wisconsin, for example, by 10 points; he won the state by just half a point. Pollsters have offered various overlapping explanations for their errors last time. Republicans seem to have been less likely...
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