Confusion reigns concerning the future course and consequences of the novel coronavirus pandemic in the United States. But one thing is certain: The health care system that emerges from the pandemic will not be the same. The question is, how will it be transformed? We attempt to answer that by posing alternative scenarios based on assumptions about key parameters that can heavily influence how the pandemic evolves. The analysis makes clear that in its pending stimulus package, Congress needs to take steps to prevent potentially long-lasting damage that Covid-19 may inflict on the health care system.
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